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2023 State & Local Government Preview

2023 State & Local Government Preview

by Hallie Ryan | Jan 26, 2023 | Insights, Special Reports, Special Situations (Insights)

Uncovering Risks for State and Local Governments: Why Risks Abound in the Year Ahead, Despite a Facade of Financial Optimism By Matt Wiederrecht Click Here to Download Introduction Capstone believes 2023 will be a volatile period for the finances of some states and...
Navigating The Coming Distressed Debt Moment

Navigating The Coming Distressed Debt Moment

by Hallie Ryan | Jul 28, 2022 | Insights, Special Situations (Insights)

By: Matthew Wiederrecht Nothing lasts forever—a sentiment the bond market is in the process of relearning as bond yields and borrowing costs start to rise. Since the financial crisis, low-interest rates have been two sides of the same coin for companies and investors....
The Looming State and Local Government Inflation Hangover

The Looming State and Local Government Inflation Hangover

by Hallie Ryan | Jul 6, 2022 | Insights, Special Situations (Insights)

By Matt Wiederrecht The difference between good decision-making and bad luck for markets and policies often comes down to timing—a lesson we believe state and local governments (SLGs) may soon learn the hard way. Scan the headlines and you will find no shortage of...
2023 State & Local Government Preview

The $900 Billion State and Local Government Opportunity

by Hallie Ryan | May 3, 2022 | Insights, Special Situations (Insights)

By: David Barrosse April 24, 2022 — One of the fastest-growing areas at Capstone is working with companies that sell to state and local governments (SLGs). Covid recovery funds, municipal financing, and the $1 trillion infrastructure bill passed by Congress earlier...
States Throwing Their Weight Around

States Throwing Their Weight Around

by Hallie Ryan | Apr 5, 2021 | Insights, Special Situations (Insights)

April 5, 2021 – Former Supreme Court Justice Salmon P. Chase (1808-1873) notably said, “States’ rights died at Appomattox.” The quote speaks to the country’s propensity for hyperbole around the age-old states’ rights debate. But it also speaks to the duration of...
Puerto Rico’s Fiscal Woes and Financial Restructuring

Puerto Rico’s Fiscal Woes and Financial Restructuring

by Admin | Jun 30, 2020 | Insights, Special Situations (Insights)

Our Call: Capstone first wrote in September 2013 that the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico faced significant financial risks given its dependence on federal funding to help finance its operations. In subsequent notes, we highlighted additional risks, including Puerto...
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The investment adviser or investment adviser representative in question may only transact business in this state if first licensed, excluded, or exempted from the state investment adviser or investment adviser representative licensing requirements; and individualized responses to persons in this state by the investment adviser or investment adviser representative that involve either effecting or attempting to effect transactions in securities, or rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, will not be made without compliance with the state investment adviser or investment adviser representative licensing requirements, or an applicable exemption or exclusion.

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A Supplemental Benefits Vendor

heartbeat

We added value by…

Predicting the policy landscape in US healthcare to anticipate major changes impacting its markets

Quantifying the impact of these likely changes on the company’s revenue drivers, such as federal health programs and employer insurance markets

Creating a strategy for C-suite leadership to inform new market entry, revenue optimization, and effectively execute stakeholder building, communications, and advocacy

Connect

A Leading Reverse Mortgage Lender

house

We added value by…

Predicting the policy around reverse mortgages

Quantifying the impact of shifting FHA policy changes that historically held back reverse mortgage volumes

Creating a strategy to avoid enforcement risk and benefit from a stabilizing policy environment around reverse mortgages

Connect

An American Private Equity Firm

electric car

We added value by…

Predicting the policy and regulatory outlook for hydrogen, carbon capture and vehicle electrification in the Western United States

Quantifying the impact of nascent policy opportunities to create new revenue streams for the target

Creating a strategy to identify the most favorable policy-driven pathways for decarbonizing the target’s natural gas assets

Connect

An American Private Equity Firm

airplane

We added value by…

Predicting the policy landscape around sustainable aviation fuel and renewable diesel in North America and Europe

Quantifying the impact of policy incentives for biofuel production in the United States and demand-side incentives from Canada and Europe

Creating a strategy to highlight the company’s expansion opportunities in the most favorable biofuel markets

Connect

An Integrated Shipping and Logistics Company

container ship

We added value by…

Predicting the policy outlook for the US shipping and logistics sector in the context of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA)

Quantifying the impact of decarbonization incentives and requirements of specific IRA provisions to build a clean fuels and electrification strategy

Creating a strategy to engage the White House on its decarbonization plans and provide industry perspectives on IRA implementation

Connect

A Recruiting Platform for Motor Carriers

magnifying glass

We added value by…

Predicting the policy around federal autonomous vehicle rules and their likely adoption timeline

Quantifying the impact of the deployment of automated driver systems and changes in worker classification laws on driver supply

Creating a strategy for the company to navigate the regulatory landscape and position products with motor carriers

Connect

A Semiconductor Equipment Manufacturer

semiconductor chip

We added value by…

Predicting the policy for semiconductor incentives in the US and abroad

Quantifying the impact of CHIPS Act funding on the manufacturer’s R&D initiatives and other operations

Creating a strategy to qualify for subsidies as a non-traditional contractor and upstream supplier

Connect

A Global Media Analytics Firm

connected people

We added value by…

Predicting the policy landscape by assessing sanction and payment risks

Quantifying the impact of sanctions and export controls that would prevent the company from operating in specific regions

Creating a strategy for company leadership to evaluate third-party resources, develop a licensing plan, and network with US Embassies

Connect

Post Hurricane Economic Outlook in Puerto Rico

house in storm

We added value by…

Predicting the policy surrounding continued federal support of essential services and disaster recovery efforts in Puerto Rico

Quantifying the impact that federal funding and the restructuring of Puerto Rico’s debt obligations would have on Gross Domestic Product and read throughs to the local economy

Creating a strategy for investors to take advantage of this improvement in the economic outlook by investing in a consumer lending company based in Puerto Rico

Connect

A Payment Processor in Alcohol Distribution

beer bottles

We added value by…

Predicting the policy surrounding the three-tier model for alcohol distribution

Quantifying the impact of state-level changes to alcohol distribution policies and the risk posed to alcohol distributors from retailers engaging in self distribution and consumers purchasing from out-of-state vendors

Creating a strategy for the company to grow its revenue base in an increasingly competitive alcohol distribution market

Connect

An Airport Services P3 Operator

airport terminal

We added value by…

Predicting the policy and regulatory environment surrounding airport security with respect to inbound logistics to airport terminals

Quantifying the impact of future changes in airport security and investments in airport expansions funded through the bipartisan infrastructure law

Creating a strategy for the company to best position itself for future contracting opportunities in the security screening and logistics space

Connect

A Retirement Custody Solutions Provider

We added value by…

Predicting the policy surrounding specialized retirement custody solutions, such as automatic IRAs

Quantifying the impact of evolving federal policy on missing participants

Creating a strategy for investors to take advantage of efforts to expand access to retirement savings

Connect

A Global Private Equity Firm

offshore wind turbines

We added value by…

Predicting the policy surrounding offshore wind interconnection and transmission infrastructure in the northeast and western United States

Quantifying the impact of federal grant opportunities and IRA tax incentives, in addition to state-level offshore wind solicitations

Creating a strategy to underscore the company’s funding opportunities and expansion potential in favorable states

Connect

A Leading EdTech Company

online learning

We added value by…

Predicting the policy landscape around K-12 funding, assessment policy, and credentialing

Quantifying the impact of shifting economic scenarios on school budgets

Creating a strategy to approach state and local education agencies based on their needs

Connect

A Global Mining Company

sledgehammer

We added value by…

Predicting the policy landscape around US mining reform efforts in response to global critical mineral supply chain shortages

Quantifying the impact of geopolitical instability and supply chain shortages on the company

Creating a strategy to domesticate the company’s critical mineral supply chain, minimizing geopolitical risk

Connect

A Global Transit Infrastructure Company

elevator

We added value by…

Predicting the policy landscape around the Biden administration’s infrastructure bill before its passage to anticipate areas of opportunity

Quantifying the impact of new funding on the company’s existing and potential customer base, as well as how their customers will likely invest the funds

Creating a strategy to utilize billions of dollars in pre-RFP projects that helped the client prioritize regions and projects for their broker-dealer teams and get ahead of the competition

Connect

A Major Korean Conglomerate

skyscrapers

We added value by…

Predicting the policy landscape around the introduction of voluntary environmental protection credits

Quantifying the impact of the voluntary credits as a new revenue stream for decarbonization projects

Creating a strategy for the Chair’s office to become a leader in this space and incentivize the private sector to decarbonize without direct government support

Connect

A US-Based Global Airline

airplane

We added value by…

Predicting the policy landscape around sustainable aviation fuel (SAF)

Quantifying the impact of policy support on the company’s investment plans over the next five years

Creating a strategy for building a SAF ecosystem among the industry and its suppliers to help the company achieve its sustainability goals

Connect

A Global Energy Corporation

pipeline

We added value by…

Predicting the policy and regulatory outlook for Carbon Capture and Storage and CO2 pipelines in the Midwestern United States

Quantifying the impact of Midwestern regulatory developments and stakeholder perspectives on the company’s project

Creating a strategy to mitigate risk while maximizing the likelihood that the company’s project succeeds

Connect

An American Defense Company

wildfire

We helped our client…

Predict the policy and regulatory environment enabling US governments and utilities to adopt technology that supports wildfire prediction and mitigation

Quantify the impact of future spending on technology investment for wildfire fighting to inform the strategy development of a new service offering

Create a strategy for the company to design its products with an informed view of customer needs and procurement requirements, as well as build a complementary strategic engagement strategy to soften the ground for its public sector-focused products and services

Connect

A Hydrogen-Focused Energy Company

hydrogen molecule

We added value by…

Predicting the policy landscape around hydrogen in European countries the company was considering entering

Quantifying the impact of policy support on its market entry strategy in the next five years

Creating a strategy for our client to expand in the countries with the most favorable future markets

Connect

A Global Private Equity Firm

revenue

We added value by…

Predicting the policy landscape for commission payments in the EU and Swedish insurance brokerage sector

Quantifying the impact of a ban on fund kickbacks on the company’s future revenue

Creating a strategy to offset the revenue loss by moving to a fee-based model

Connect

A UK Motor Vehicle Insurance Provider

electric car

We added value by…

Predicting the policy landscape outlook for tax incentives for electric vehicle purchases through salary sacrifice schemes

Quantifying the impact of higher Benefit-in-Kind tax rates on employee take-up rates of company car schemes

Creating a strategy around the broader UK transport decarbonization agenda and opportunities for car leasing

Connect

An At-Risk Primary Care Provider

stethoscope

We added value by…

Predicting the policy and rate changes for Medicare Advantage

Quantifying the impact on 10-year per-member-per-month revenue projections

Creating a strategy to optimize payments under various regulatory scenarios

Connect

A 340B Company

pills

We added value by…

Predicting the policy and regulation for the 340B drug pricing program

Quantifying the impact of likely regulation and legislation on script revenue in on-site vs. contract pharmacies

Creating a strategy to gain an investment advantage in a volatile policy space

Connect

A Risk Adjustment Vendor

medical records

We added value by…

Predicting the policy changes to Medicare Advantage and risk adjustment

Quantifying the impact of changes to the risk scoring system

Creating a strategy for investing into the risk adjustment ecosystem

Connect